Messina JP, Brady OJ, Golding N, et al. The current and future global distribution and population at risk of Dengue. Nature Microbiology. 2019;4(9):1508-1515.
Estimates of the current and future global distribution of dengue indicate an overall increase in transmission possibly due to climate change and urbanization. The researchers of this study pinpoint specific geographic patterns of expansion and the potential for dengue contraction by assessing the global environmental suitability for the virus as of 2015 and creating projections for the years 2020, 2050 and 2080. Methods employed to do so included application of statistical mapping techniques to a database of case locations and subsequent extrapolations to arrive at estimates of future virus suitability. Study findings can be used to anticipate and prepare for future global dengue risk. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41564-019-0476-8